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MLB · Sun, Jul 12, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 7 · 8 San Diego Padres. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.80 | +26.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| German Marquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.56 | +24.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Sung-Mun Song | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +12.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +11.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.74 | +7.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jonatan Clase | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.02 | +6.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +6.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Kevin Gausman | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.10 | +3.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +0.1% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Toronto Blue Jays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 72.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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