Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 18, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · 5 Cleveland Guardians. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.44 | +22.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +21.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +13.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.77 | +10.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +10.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +8.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.65 | +8.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Austin Hedges | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.98 | +7.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +0.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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