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MLB · Mon, Jul 20, 2026
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves
Final score: San Diego Padres 2 · 3 Atlanta Braves. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.69 | +4.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.86 | +36.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.03 | +35.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| JP Sears | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.80 | +34.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +17.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +15.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +7.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +5.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +5.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +5.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +4.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +2.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +1.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or San Diego Padres that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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