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MLB · Thu, Jul 23, 2026
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves
Final score: San Diego Padres 6 · 7 Atlanta Braves. 21 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewer Hicklen | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +54.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +45.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +35.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +34.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.62 | +29.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jase Bowen | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +26.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +22.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.79 | +18.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.51 | +14.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brewer Hicklen | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +12.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.64 | +12.2% | 11 | LOSS |
| Griffin Canning | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.21 | +10.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +10.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +9.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +9.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +5.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.90 | +4.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.28 | +1.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +0.1% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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