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MLB · Fri, Jul 24, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3 · 2 Washington Nationals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 1.95 | +5.3% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.01 | +2.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +30.5% | 2 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +22.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +11.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +8.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +8.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +7.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +5.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.92 | +2.6% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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