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MLB · Fri, Jul 24, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4 · 6 Boston Red Sox. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +13.4% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.79 | +5.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +36.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Sandoval | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.14 | +34.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Davis Schneider | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.79 | +24.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +24.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +11.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +10.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +5.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +4.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +4.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +2.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.81 | +1.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +1.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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