Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 25, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 6 · 0 Boston Red Sox. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.83 | +7.1% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.95 | +4.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +20.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +4.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +3.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.76 | +3.1% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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