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MLB · Sun, Jul 26, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 7 · 10 Washington Nationals. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.99 | +2.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +29.7% | 9 | WIN |
| Kohl Drake | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.62 | +28.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.97 | +18.7% | 8 | WIN |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +12.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +12.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +12.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Kepler | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +11.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +11.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Tim Tawa | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +11.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +9.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +8.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +2.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +1.1% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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