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MLB · Wed, Aug 5, 2026
New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: New York Mets 6 · 5 Cleveland Guardians. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.89 | +14.3% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.97 | +2.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.22 | +8.7% | 7 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +8.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +7.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Luis Robert Jr. | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +5.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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