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MLB · Wed, Aug 5, 2026
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: San Diego Padres 4 · 10 Arizona Diamondbacks. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Vasquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.79 | +55.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| James McCann | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +47.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Jase Bowen | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +32.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Rengifo | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +16.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.62 | +16.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +16.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Kepler | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +15.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +11.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +8.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.48 | +8.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Kepler | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +5.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jase Bowen | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.24 | +0.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +0.2% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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