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MLB · Thu, Aug 6, 2026
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: San Diego Padres 4 · 10 Arizona Diamondbacks. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.82 | +15.2% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.02 | +3.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James McCann | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.99 | +43.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jase Bowen | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.91 | +36.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Mitch Bratt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.98 | +23.6% | 9 | WIN |
| Max Kepler | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +22.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Luis Rengifo | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +22.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Luis Rengifo | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +14.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +12.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.47 | +5.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.42 | +4.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jase Bowen | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +4.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +4.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +4.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +2.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +2.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +1.9% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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