Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 8, 2026
Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees
Final score: Atlanta Braves 4 · 5 New York Yankees. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.96 | +3.7% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.27 | +3.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 2.10 | +35.8% | 8 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +26.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +18.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +6.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.84 | +2.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.86 | +1.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +0.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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