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MLB · Tue, Aug 11, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 4 · 6 Detroit Tigers. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +11.4% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.79 | +4.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clark | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | +70.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +32.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drew Anderson | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 1.70 | +29.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +22.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +10.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +9.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Torkelson | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +8.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +7.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +6.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Max Clark | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Angel Genao | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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