Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Aug 12, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Boston Red Sox 4 · 6 Toronto Blue Jays. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.79 | +3.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Bateman | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.26 | +84.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Charles McAdoo | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.19 | +70.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.47 | +46.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +36.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.14 | +36.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +33.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +32.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.00 | +26.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +22.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +17.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.24 | +1.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +1.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Soriano | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.05 | +0.5% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.