Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Aug 12, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 2 · 8 Miami Marlins. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.13 | +32.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +23.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +16.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +15.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.78 | +14.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Jakob Marsee | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +10.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +6.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +3.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.