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MLB · Thu, Aug 13, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Boston Red Sox 7 · 0 Toronto Blue Jays. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.63 | +0.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.01 | +26.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +20.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +17.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +15.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.93 | +13.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +13.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +10.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +6.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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