Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Aug 16, 2026
San Diego Padres at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: San Diego Padres 5 · 0 Cleveland Guardians. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.86 | +10.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.28 | +36.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +12.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +8.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +7.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.04 | +6.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +5.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +1.2% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or San Diego Padres that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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