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MLB · Mon, Aug 17, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Atlanta Braves 2 · 4 Minnesota Twins. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.76 | +2.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +38.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +35.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +33.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +22.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.95 | +20.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.94 | +18.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.59 | +18.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Martin | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +17.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +15.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +14.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +12.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +7.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +5.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.24 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +2.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +0.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +0.0% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 13 | 15.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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