Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Aug 17, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Detroit Tigers 8 · 5 Pittsburgh Pirates. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.81 | +0.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +18.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +15.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.70 | +15.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +9.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +9.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Ronny Simon | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +0.6% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Detroit Tigersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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