Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Aug 17, 2026
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Miami Marlins 5 · 6 Philadelphia Phillies. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.08 | +11.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Navarreto | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.89 | +26.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Janson Junk | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.56 | +25.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +25.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +21.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +8.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +3.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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