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MLB · Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Detroit Tigers 1 · 4 Pittsburgh Pirates. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +11.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Callahan | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +101.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Clark | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.70 | +58.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.99 | +50.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +41.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Torkelson | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +30.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.61 | +26.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.54 | +24.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +20.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +17.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +15.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.83 | +7.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +3.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +1.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +1.2% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Detroit Tigersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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