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MLB · Wed, Aug 19, 2026
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Miami Marlins 1 · 4 Philadelphia Phillies. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Caissie | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +44.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +32.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +19.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.02 | +17.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +16.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +14.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +12.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.52 | +8.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Griffin Conine | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +8.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +8.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.33 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +3.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +1.2% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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