Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, Aug 21, 2026
San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Sox
Final score: San Francisco Giants 4 · 6 Boston Red Sox. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.54 | +1.8% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.89 | +0.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +22.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +12.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +11.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +10.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.86 | +8.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Adley Rutschman | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +7.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Logan Webb | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.72 | +0.2% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or San Francisco Giantsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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