Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 22, 2026
Athletics at Houston Astros
Final score: Athletics 4 · 4 Houston Astros. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.91 | +11.1% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.52 | +4.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +24.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +22.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +20.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +19.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.68 | +14.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +12.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +11.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.24 | +11.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +11.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Daulton Varsho | Houston Astros | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.44 | +9.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jacob Lopez | Athletics | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.02 | +8.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Jose Altuve | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daulton Varsho | Houston Astros | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +3.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tommy White | Athletics | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +1.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Donovan Walton | Athletics | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.03 | +0.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Athleticsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Athletics at Cleveland Guardians | 9 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 12 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.