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MLB · Tue, Aug 25, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 2 · 9 Seattle Mariners. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.81 | +3.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +29.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.50 | +17.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brock Rodden | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.18 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.65 | +11.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +9.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Ward | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +8.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Weston Wilson | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.69 | +5.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +4.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Justin Crawford | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +4.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +3.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.42 | +1.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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