Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 29, 2026
Houston Astros at New York Mets
Final score: Houston Astros 2 · 6 New York Mets. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.15 | +2.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +32.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +28.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +12.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +7.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +1.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.71 | +1.1% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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