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MLB · Sat, Aug 29, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Kansas City Royals 8 · 3 Cleveland Guardians. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.98 | +8.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch IV | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | under | 2.5 | 2.03 | +64.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +16.7% | 2 | WIN |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.71 | +14.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +14.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Foster Griffin | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.93 | +9.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +6.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +0.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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