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MLB · Sat, Aug 29, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 6 · 4 St. Louis Cardinals. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 1.83 | +3.2% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.99 | +0.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Baez | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.27 | +49.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +48.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.99 | +39.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +36.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.60 | +34.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +32.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.52 | +29.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +28.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +24.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Jimmy Crooks | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.99 | +21.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.71 | +21.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +10.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +6.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jared Jones | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.68 | +1.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +1.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +0.9% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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