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MLB · Sun, Aug 30, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Kansas City Royals 1 · 11 Cleveland Guardians. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.77 | +5.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.87 | +0.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +21.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.63 | +9.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +6.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +6.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +4.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.65 | +3.2% | 5 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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