Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Aug 30, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5 · 4 St. Louis Cardinals. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.96 | +4.8% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.05 | +3.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +26.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +23.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Jared Triolo | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +21.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.06 | +20.5% | 9 | LOSS |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.13 | +19.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +15.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +6.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +1.7% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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