Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Aug 31, 2026
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: San Diego Padres 5 · 0 Cincinnati Reds. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.13 | +26.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +21.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Jake Cronenworth | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +14.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.31 | +11.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +8.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Samad Taylor | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +6.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +5.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +3.1% | 3 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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