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MLB · Tue, Sep 1, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Detroit Tigers 2 · 15 Minnesota Twins. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.98 | +14.7% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.83 | +0.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.09 | +22.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ben Malgeri | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +17.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +11.5% | 7 | WIN |
| Hao-Yu Lee | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +9.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +6.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Kaelen Culpepper | Minnesota Twins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +5.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +5.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +1.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +1.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Detroit Tigersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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