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MLB · Wed, Sep 2, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 7 · 1 Arizona Diamondbacks. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.94 | +4.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +26.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Jesus Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 2.24 | +25.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +24.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.92 | +22.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +21.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +13.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +12.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +6.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +4.1% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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