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MLB · Wed, Sep 2, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Seattle Mariners 8 · 3 Boston Red Sox. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.73 | +7.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +0.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Canzone | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +32.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Trevor Story | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +27.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +25.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +19.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.85 | +17.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +15.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +12.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Weston Wilson | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.81 | +11.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Dominic Canzone | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.49 | +10.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +8.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.35 | +7.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +6.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +4.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +0.3% | 6 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Seattle Marinersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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