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MLB · Fri, Sep 4, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Detroit Tigers 3 · 4 Cleveland Guardians. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.87 | +15.5% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.14 | +2.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.24 | +36.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.70 | +23.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +7.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +3.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Clark | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.77 | +2.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +2.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +1.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Detroit Tigersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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