Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Sep 5, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 1 · 3 Houston Astros. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +21.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +19.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +17.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.95 | +11.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +7.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Jose Altuve | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +7.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +6.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cristian Javier | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.65 | +0.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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