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MLB · Sat, Sep 5, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Detroit Tigers 6 · 0 Cleveland Guardians. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +6.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +29.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +21.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | +13.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.72 | +8.2% | 12 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +6.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +5.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Max Clark | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +2.1% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Detroit Tigersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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