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NFL · Sun, Sep 13, 2026
Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts
Final score: Baltimore Ravens 41 · 23 Indianapolis Colts. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | 3.5 | 1.87 | +10.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 47.5 | 1.87 | +7.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.88 | +42.9% | 40 | WIN |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.12 | +40.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 45.5 | 1.91 | +38.4% | 37 | WIN |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 27.5 | 1.91 | +32.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 33.5 | 1.89 | +29.0% | 49 | LOSS |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | over | 27.5 | 1.88 | +24.6% | 32 | WIN |
| Alec Pierce | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | over | 42.5 | 1.88 | +21.6% | 61 | WIN |
| Tyler Warren | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.12 | +21.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.70 | +21.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.46 | +20.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.87 | +19.9% | 10 | LOSS |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.95 | +18.0% | 19 | WIN |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | Passing Yards | under | 219.5 | 1.90 | +17.2% | 324 | LOSS |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 67.5 | 1.88 | +16.0% | 150 | LOSS |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +16.0% | 18 | WIN |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.65 | +11.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Tyler Warren | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 46.5 | 1.88 | +10.4% | 13 | WIN |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.26 | +7.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | over | 18.5 | 1.93 | +6.5% | 23 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.93 | +6.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.55 | +3.1% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Indianapolis Colts or Baltimore Ravensthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys | 55 | 63.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts | 58 | 53.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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