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NFL · Sun, Nov 1, 2026
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score: Indianapolis Colts 7 · 42 Jacksonville Jaguars. 36 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 4.80 | +44.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 46.5 | 1.91 | +1.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 23.5 | 1.87 | +69.2% | 18 | WIN |
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | under | 66.5 | 1.89 | +67.1% | 104 | LOSS |
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | under | 64.5 | 1.88 | +63.4% | 104 | LOSS |
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | under | 16.5 | 1.88 | +52.2% | 55 | LOSS |
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.69 | +48.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | over | 50.5 | 1.90 | +46.2% | 23 | LOSS |
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.56 | +43.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Nate Boerkircher | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.95 | +42.3% | 31 | WIN |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | over | 57.5 | 1.88 | +35.7% | 23 | LOSS |
| Travis Hunter | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.79 | +31.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nate Boerkircher | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.83 | +29.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Josh Cameron | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.75 | +27.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.90 | +27.3% | 10 | LOSS |
| Tyler Warren | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.90 | +25.2% | 18 | WIN |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.93 | +24.5% | 10 | LOSS |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | over | 31.5 | 1.93 | +19.3% | 41 | WIN |
| Parker Washington | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.03 | +19.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing Yards | over | 187.5 | 1.89 | +19.0% | 144 | LOSS |
| Travis Hunter | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.88 | +16.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.94 | +16.2% | 7 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing Yards | over | 193.5 | 1.88 | +12.5% | 144 | LOSS |
| Tyler Warren | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 35.5 | 1.90 | +11.1% | 18 | WIN |
| Brenton Strange | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.27 | +8.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyler Warren | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 1.97 | +7.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 37.5 | 1.90 | +7.3% | 67 | LOSS |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Passing Yards | over | 240.5 | 1.90 | +7.1% | 210 | LOSS |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | over | 33.5 | 1.92 | +7.0% | 23 | LOSS |
| Travis Hunter | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.87 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +4.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.82 | +3.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 1.51 | +3.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing TDs | over | 0.5 | 1.49 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 35.5 | 1.91 | +0.8% | 67 | LOSS |
| Seth McGowan | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | under | 22.5 | 1.87 | +0.2% | 29 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Jacksonville Jaguars or Indianapolis Colts that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings | 31 | 80.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | 48 | 62.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts | 42 | 45.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars | 42 | 45.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers | 33 | 48.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders | 42 | 64.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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