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NFL · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings
Final score: Indianapolis Colts 10 · 16 Minnesota Vikings. 31 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.60 | +8.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.76 | +117.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.38 | +81.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.88 | +65.2% | 34 | WIN |
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.85 | +64.0% | 34 | WIN |
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 19.5 | 1.91 | +63.6% | 19 | WIN |
| Laquon Treadwell | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 20.5 | 1.88 | +63.3% | 19 | WIN |
| Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 2.10 | +53.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 74.5 | 1.88 | +43.6% | 44 | WIN |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.85 | +39.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.69 | +36.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +35.9% | 1 | WIN |
| T.J. Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 36.5 | 1.87 | +35.9% | 35 | WIN |
| Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.91 | +35.5% | 20 | WIN |
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.41 | +33.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 50.5 | 1.90 | +30.4% | 18 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing Yards | over | 187.5 | 1.88 | +30.1% | 108 | LOSS |
| Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 49.5 | 1.92 | +29.0% | 18 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing Yards | over | 189.5 | 1.89 | +29.0% | 108 | LOSS |
| Seth McGowan | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.91 | +24.3% | 46 | WIN |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.68 | +21.4% | 3 | WIN |
| T.J. Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.71 | +20.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Rushing Yards | over | 26.5 | 1.92 | +19.7% | 39 | WIN |
| Keenan Allen | Indianapolis Colts | Receiving Yards | under | 41.5 | 1.91 | +14.1% | 31 | WIN |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | over | 69.5 | 1.88 | +9.7% | 95 | WIN |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | over | 71.5 | 1.88 | +6.6% | 95 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Rushing Yards | under | 6.5 | 1.91 | +6.2% | 13 | LOSS |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Passing Yards | under | 209.5 | 1.90 | +5.1% | 150 | WIN |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Passing Yards | under | 207.5 | 1.90 | +3.0% | 150 | WIN |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.83 | +2.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts | Passing TDs | over | 0.5 | 1.43 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Vikings or Indianapolis Colts that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts | 42 | 45.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints | 31 | 51.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers | 33 | 48.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders | 42 | 64.3% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31 | 48.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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