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NFL · Sun, Sep 13, 2026
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Final score: Green Bay Packers 22 · 39 Minnesota Vikings. 24 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 46.5 | 1.87 | +10.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.25 | +56.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 75.5 | 1.91 | +51.4% | 92 | LOSS |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.79 | +45.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jayden Reed | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.10 | +44.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Jayden Reed | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.90 | +44.2% | 20 | WIN |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.89 | +41.2% | 95 | LOSS |
| Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 6.5 | 1.65 | +32.9% | 8 | LOSS |
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | over | 22.5 | 1.88 | +32.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.27 | +24.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.89 | +22.1% | 9 | LOSS |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Passing Yards | under | 220.5 | 1.90 | +19.5% | 18 | WIN |
| Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.85 | +18.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.85 | +16.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Oliver | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.84 | +16.1% | 22 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing Yards | under | 239.5 | 1.88 | +11.0% | 387 | LOSS |
| Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 42.5 | 1.91 | +11.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 56.5 | 1.88 | +10.7% | 147 | LOSS |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +10.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.66 | +9.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | over | 44.5 | 1.88 | +5.3% | 65 | WIN |
| Jordan Mason | Minnesota Vikings | Rushing Yards | under | 45.5 | 1.87 | +4.5% | 59 | LOSS |
| Josh Oliver | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.42 | +3.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +0.5% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Vikings or Green Bay Packers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 10, 2026 | Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings | 25 | 84.0% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 8, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots | 28 | 39.3% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions | 38 | 52.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 30, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers | 29 | 34.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings | 31 | 80.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions | 24 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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