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NFL · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Final score: Green Bay Packers 17 · 20 Detroit Lions. 24 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 73.5 | 1.88 | +71.5% | 39 | WIN |
| Sione Vaki | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.87 | +54.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 97.5 | 1.88 | +52.7% | 116 | LOSS |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.64 | +51.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MarShawn Lloyd | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.86 | +43.0% | 20 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing Yards | under | 287.5 | 1.88 | +38.6% | 274 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.48 | +38.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 77.5 | 1.91 | +35.2% | 57 | WIN |
| Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 53.5 | 1.88 | +24.1% | 91 | WIN |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.93 | +18.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Isaac TeSlaa | Detroit Lions | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.28 | +18.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | under | 82.5 | 1.89 | +16.0% | 153 | LOSS |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions | Receptions | under | 7.5 | 1.90 | +15.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Sam LaPorta | Detroit Lions | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.71 | +14.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.88 | +13.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 50.5 | 1.91 | +12.7% | 48 | WIN |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | Passing TDs | under | 2.5 | 1.65 | +11.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Isaac TeSlaa | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | under | 24.5 | 1.92 | +8.6% | 10 | WIN |
| Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.72 | +7.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 1.65 | +7.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 41.5 | 1.88 | +3.7% | 27 | LOSS |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 6.5 | 1.85 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 0.5 | 1.92 | +0.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Sam LaPorta | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 50.5 | 1.92 | +0.1% | 18 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Lions or Green Bay Packers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 19, 2026 | Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers | 30 | 60.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers | 44 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals | 28 | 39.3% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers | 26 | 69.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 35 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Jets at Detroit Lions | 52 | 51.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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