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MLB · Thu, Sep 17, 2026
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Final score: San Diego Padres 9 · 2 Colorado Rockies. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.20 | +25.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +23.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +22.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +19.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Dustin Harris | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +18.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +17.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +15.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Tanner Gordon | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.85 | +10.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +8.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +3.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.50 | +2.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake Cronenworth | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +0.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or San Diego Padresthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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