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NFL · Sun, Sep 20, 2026
Green Bay Packers at New York Jets
Final score: Green Bay Packers 20 · 17 New York Jets. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 3.5 | 1.91 | +0.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.28 | +73.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 51.5 | 1.88 | +68.5% | 58 | LOSS |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.91 | +67.7% | 58 | LOSS |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 50.5 | 1.88 | +67.4% | 58 | LOSS |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 49.5 | 1.88 | +66.3% | 58 | LOSS |
| Chris Brooks | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 24.5 | 1.93 | +57.8% | 11 | WIN |
| Chris Brooks | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 25.5 | 1.88 | +56.5% | 11 | WIN |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.60 | +43.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Chris Brooks | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +39.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Chris Brooks | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.90 | +29.9% | 15 | LOSS |
| Jonnu Smith | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.93 | +26.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jonnu Smith | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.93 | +21.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.88 | +19.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 61.5 | 1.91 | +16.3% | 41 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 7.5 | 1.93 | +16.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Chris Brooks | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 7.5 | 1.90 | +14.0% | 15 | LOSS |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 60.5 | 1.90 | +13.7% | 41 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 58.5 | 1.90 | +9.6% | 41 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.02 | +6.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing Yards | under | 257.5 | 1.89 | +5.3% | 145 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing Yards | under | 256.5 | 1.89 | +4.4% | 145 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.31 | +3.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +2.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | over | 42.5 | 1.91 | +0.7% | 15 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New York Jets or Green Bay Packersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Jets at Detroit Lions | 52 | 51.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers | 45 | 64.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings | 24 | 41.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | New York Jets at Tennessee Titans | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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