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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Final score: Houston Texans 34 · 31 Jacksonville Jaguars. 48 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score34 · 31
Tracked picks48
Hit rate62.5%
Decided / Wins48 / 30

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Moneylinehome01.70+4.1%LOSS
Spreadhome-2.51.85+2.7%LOSS
Game Totalunder42.51.93+0.6%LOSS

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Bhayshul TutenJacksonville JaguarsRushing Yardsunder63.51.87+67.6%39WIN
Bhayshul TutenJacksonville JaguarsReceptionsunder1.52.26+66.3%4LOSS
Chris Rodriguez Jr.Jacksonville JaguarsRushing Yardsover14.51.91+55.6%55WIN
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville JaguarsPassing TDsover1.52.38+55.4%4WIN
Nate BoerkircherJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover3.51.88+54.7%8WIN
Xavier HutchinsonHouston TexansReceiving Yardsover14.51.89+53.1%10LOSS
Xavier HutchinsonHouston TexansReceiving Yardsover13.51.86+52.7%10LOSS
Woody MarksHouston TexansReceptionsunder2.52.00+51.9%2WIN
Nate BoerkircherJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover4.51.88+51.3%8WIN
Woody MarksHouston TexansReceiving Yardsunder15.51.91+51.0%25LOSS
Chris Rodriguez Jr.Jacksonville JaguarsRushing Yardsover16.51.89+49.8%55WIN
Bhayshul TutenJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsunder10.51.93+48.0%48LOSS
Woody MarksHouston TexansReceiving Yardsunder14.51.89+44.6%25LOSS
Dalton SchultzHouston TexansReceptionsover3.52.02+39.2%4WIN
Jakobi MeyersJacksonville JaguarsReceptionsover3.52.32+38.3%5WIN
Jakobi MeyersJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover32.51.90+34.3%83WIN
Josh CameronJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover14.51.86+29.4%0LOSS
Josh CameronJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover15.51.90+29.0%0LOSS
Jakobi MeyersJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover34.51.90+28.0%83WIN
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville JaguarsRushing Yardsover13.51.91+26.8%11LOSS
Nate BoerkircherJacksonville JaguarsReceptionsover0.51.63+26.1%2WIN
Xavier HutchinsonHouston TexansReceptionsover1.51.87+25.5%2WIN
Marvin Harrison Jr.Houston TexansReceiving Yardsover20.51.89+24.3%34WIN
Nico CollinsHouston TexansReceiving Yardsover72.51.91+23.3%74WIN
Marvin Harrison Jr.Houston TexansReceptionsover1.51.71+21.9%3WIN
Marvin Harrison Jr.Houston TexansReceiving Yardsover21.51.88+21.4%34WIN
Kayshon BoutteHouston TexansReceiving Yardsover22.51.87+20.1%16LOSS
Nico CollinsHouston TexansReceptionsunder5.52.05+19.7%3WIN
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville JaguarsPassing Yardsover225.51.90+19.6%306WIN
Josh CameronJacksonville JaguarsReceptionsover1.51.96+19.4%0LOSS
Kayshon BoutteHouston TexansReceiving Yardsover24.51.92+16.3%16LOSS
Parker WashingtonJacksonville JaguarsReceptionsunder4.51.98+15.6%4WIN
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville JaguarsPassing Yardsover228.51.89+15.3%306WIN
Parker WashingtonJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover62.51.88+9.2%64WIN
Parker WashingtonJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover63.51.88+7.5%64WIN
C.J. StroudHouston TexansPassing TDsunder1.51.64+6.9%3LOSS
Jaylin NoelHouston TexansReceiving Yardsunder16.51.88+4.9%107LOSS
Dalton SchultzHouston TexansReceiving Yardsover30.51.88+4.3%33WIN
Brenton StrangeJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover35.51.87+3.4%44WIN
C.J. StroudHouston TexansPassing Yardsover252.51.90+2.3%312WIN
Kayshon BoutteHouston TexansReceptionsunder2.51.56+2.3%2WIN
Woody MarksHouston TexansRushing Yardsover45.51.87+1.2%56WIN
Brenton StrangeJacksonville JaguarsReceptionsunder3.52.03+0.6%5LOSS
Brenton StrangeJacksonville JaguarsReceiving Yardsover36.51.87+0.6%44WIN
C.J. StroudHouston TexansPassing Yardsover253.51.88+0.3%312WIN

Recent NFL games for these teams

Other games involving Jacksonville Jaguars or Houston Texans that we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans4768.1%View →
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars4245.2%View →
Sun, Oct 4, 2026Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals4443.2%View →
Sun, Oct 4, 2026Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans3852.6%View →
Sun, Sep 27, 2026New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars5952.5%View →
Sun, Sep 27, 2026Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts5853.4%View →

Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET

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