MLB · Thu, May 7, 2026
Athletics at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Athletics 12 – 1 Philadelphia Phillies. 32 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9 | 2.02 | +4.0% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.14 | +2.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Marchan | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.27 | +49.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Edmundo Sosa | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.42 | +41.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.12 | +35.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brent Rooker | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.56 | +34.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.85 | +26.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jacob Wilson | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.35 | +26.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Darell Hernaiz | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.17 | +25.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Carlos Cortes | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.18 | +21.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.07 | +20.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brent Rooker | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +20.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Bryson Stott | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.52 | +19.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +19.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +18.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.51 | +17.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Lawrence Butler | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.11 | +17.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Zack Gelof | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.43 | +14.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +13.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Lawrence Butler | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +11.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.93 | +10.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.65 | +9.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryson Stott | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.03 | +9.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +7.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Zack Gelof | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.04 | +7.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Adolis Garcia | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.49 | +5.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Rafael Marchan | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +2.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Edmundo Sosa | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.23 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.58 | +1.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Adolis Garcia | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.51 | +1.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Shea Langeliers | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.34 | +0.3% | 2 | WIN |
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