MLB · Fri, May 8, 2026
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Minnesota Twins 4 – 6 Cleveland Guardians. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.98 | +8.4% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.19 | +8.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.89 | +83.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +63.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.78 | +53.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.23 | +33.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.99 | +23.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Austin Hedges | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.03 | +17.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.52 | +2.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.69 | +0.8% | 2 | WIN |
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