MLB · Sat, May 9, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers
Final score: Chicago Cubs 0 – 6 Texas Rangers. 30 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 4.08 | +22.4% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.77 | +12.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.81 | +0.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.25 | +165.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.90 | +119.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +107.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.75 | +99.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Corey Seager | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.25 | +72.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +70.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.30 | +50.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.30 | +40.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.10 | +38.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +34.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.20 | +31.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +31.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +29.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +27.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +23.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Evan Carter | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +23.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Conforto | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +16.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jack Leiter | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.21 | +15.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | under | 2.5 | 1.17 | +14.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Corey Seager | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.10 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +8.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.15 | +4.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Joc Pederson | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +3.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Edward Cabrera | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.63 | +2.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +1.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.31 | +1.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +0.3% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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