MLB · Mon, May 11, 2026
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: New York Yankees 2 – 3 Baltimore Orioles. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 5.5 | 3.94 | +89.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.80 | +7.8% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 9 | 2.02 | +2.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +64.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Leody Taveras | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.72 | +61.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.23 | +32.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.29 | +21.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.47 | +21.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.34 | +19.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +18.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.63 | +15.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.19 | +10.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +10.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +7.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +3.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Blaze Alexander | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.22 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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