MLB · Wed, May 13, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 1 – 3 Boston Red Sox. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9 | 1.87 | +2.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +21.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +13.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.82 | +6.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +4.3% | 0 | LOSS |
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